United State Senate Ratings
Jake Porter Consulting's Predictions As of 9-1-2022
Current Analysis: Democrats are likely to keep the Senate, and there are very few races likely to be toss-ups by the time we get to November. The House still favors the Republicans; however, our analysis there isn’t complete.
Close races to watch include Wisconsin, which we believe may switch to lean Republican, and Georgia, which we believe currently favors the Democrats but could easily change.
Democrats: 52
Republicans: 48
Safe Republican (16)
Alaska
Alabama
Arkansas
Idaho
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Missouri
North Dakota
Oklahoma (2)
South Carolina
South Dakota
Utah
Leans Republican: (2)
Florida
North Carolina
Safe Democrat (11)
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Hawaii
Illinois
Maryland
New Hampshire
New York
Oregon
Vermont
Washington
Leans Democrat (3)
Arizona
Nevada
Pennsylvania
Toss Up (3)
Georgia-Slightly Leaning Democrat
Ohio-Slightly Leaning Republican
Wisconsin-Slightly Leaning Democrat
No Election-Current Republicans (29)
Alabama
Alaska
Arkansas
Florida
Idaho
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Mississippi (2)
Montana
Missouri
Nebraska (2)
North Carolina
North Dakota
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee (2)
Texas (2)
Utah
West Virginia
Wyoming (2)
No Election-Current Democrats (36) (Including 2 Independents who caucus with Democrats)
Arizona
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware (2)
Georgia
Hawaii
Illinois
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts (2)
Michigan (2)
Minnesota (2)
Montana
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey (2)
New Mexico (2)
New York
Ohio
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island (2)
Vermont
Virginia (2)
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin