United State Senate Ratings-October 3
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United State Senate Ratings-October 3
Jake Porter Consulting's Predictions As of 10-3-2022
Current Analysis: Democrats are likely to keep the Senate with the Vice-President breaking the ties, and there are very few races likely to be toss-ups by the time we get to November. The House still favors the Republicans; however, our analysis in the house isn’t complete.
Close races to watch include Wisconsin, which we which we moved from toss-up leaning Democrat to lean republican, and Georgia, which based on the recent Herschel Walker scandal was moved from toss-up slightly favoring the Democrats to lean Democrat. Nevada switched from leaning Democrat to toss-up lean Republican.
Democrats: 50
Republicans: 50
Safe Republican (16)
Alaska
Alabama
Arkansas
Idaho
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Missouri
North Dakota
Oklahoma (2)
South Carolina
South Dakota
Utah
Leans Republican: (4)
Florida
Nevada
North Carolina
Wisconsin
Safe Democrat (11)
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Hawaii
Illinois
Maryland
New Hampshire
New York
Oregon
Vermont
Washington
Leans Democrat (3)
Arizona
Georgia
Pennsylvania
Toss Up (1)
Ohio-Slightly Leaning Republican
No Election-Current Republicans (29)
Alabama
Alaska
Arkansas
Florida
Idaho
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Mississippi (2)
Montana
Missouri
Nebraska (2)
North Carolina
North Dakota
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee (2)
Texas (2)
Utah
West Virginia
Wyoming (2)
No Election-Current Democrats (36) (Including 2 Independents who caucus with Democrats)
Arizona
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware (2)
Georgia
Hawaii
Illinois
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts (2)
Michigan (2)
Minnesota (2)
Montana
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey (2)
New Mexico (2)
New York
Ohio
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island (2)
Vermont
Virginia (2)
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin