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United State Senate Ratings-October 3

jakeporter.substack.com

United State Senate Ratings-October 3

Jake Porter Consulting's Predictions As of 10-3-2022

Jake Porter
Oct 4, 2022
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United State Senate Ratings-October 3

jakeporter.substack.com
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Photo by Obi - @pixel6propix on Unsplash

Current Analysis: Democrats are likely to keep the Senate with the Vice-President breaking the ties, and there are very few races likely to be toss-ups by the time we get to November. The House still favors the Republicans; however, our analysis in the house isn’t complete.

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Close races to watch include Wisconsin, which we which we moved from toss-up leaning Democrat to lean republican, and Georgia, which based on the recent Herschel Walker scandal was moved from toss-up slightly favoring the Democrats to lean Democrat. Nevada switched from leaning Democrat to toss-up lean Republican.

Democrats: 50

Republicans: 50

Safe Republican (16)

Alaska

Alabama

Arkansas

Idaho

Indiana

Iowa

Kansas

Kentucky

Louisiana

Missouri

North Dakota

Oklahoma (2)

South Carolina

South Dakota

Utah

Leans Republican: (4)

Florida

Nevada

North Carolina

Wisconsin

Safe Democrat (11)

California

Colorado

Connecticut

Hawaii

Illinois

Maryland

New Hampshire

New York

Oregon

Vermont

Washington

Leans Democrat (3)

Arizona

Georgia

Pennsylvania

Toss Up (1)

Ohio-Slightly Leaning Republican

No Election-Current Republicans (29)

Alabama

Alaska

Arkansas

Florida

Idaho

Indiana

Iowa

Kansas

Kentucky

Louisiana

Maine

Mississippi (2)

Montana

Missouri

Nebraska (2)

North Carolina

North Dakota

South Carolina

South Dakota

Tennessee (2)

Texas (2)

Utah

West Virginia

Wyoming (2)

No Election-Current Democrats (36) (Including 2 Independents who caucus with Democrats)

Arizona

California

Colorado

Connecticut

Delaware (2)

Georgia

Hawaii

Illinois

Maine

Maryland

Massachusetts (2)

Michigan (2)

Minnesota (2)

Montana

Nevada

New Hampshire

New Jersey (2)

New Mexico (2)

New York

Ohio

Oregon

Pennsylvania

Rhode Island (2)

Vermont

Virginia (2)

Washington

West Virginia

Wisconsin

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United State Senate Ratings-October 3

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